calibratedrisk.io — Now in early access

Risk ratings that
are actually
calibrated.

Calibrated Risk replaces guesswork in Job Hazard Analyses with scores grounded in 13.2 million OSHA enforcement records. Real citation rates. Real injury outcomes. Defensible risk scores.

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13.2M violation records
5.1M inspections
231K injury outcomes
Live Analysis NAICS 2362
Fall from Elevation
29 CFR 1926.502 · 1926.503
1
CRITICAL
29.4% Citation rate
12.1% Fatality rate
43.2% Hosp. rate
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Data-backed probability

Citation rates calculated per CFR standard per NAICS code — not estimates, not ranges, not experience.

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Empirical severity

Fatality and hospitalization rates from 231,000 OSHA-investigated injury records by industry.

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Risk Level + Priority Score

Risk levels and priority scores grounded in OSHA enforcement data and CFR citation history.

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Professional PDF export

A complete JHA report with controls hierarchy, residual risk level, and regulatory citations — ready to deliver.

New Analysis 29 CFR 1910 / 1926
OSHA DATA · LIVE
Regulatory Standard
NAICS Code (optional)
Task Description
0 / 1000
Exposure Factors (APN)
Workers Exposed
Task Frequency
Exposure Duration
Environment
Risk scores are derived from OSHA enforcement data. Always apply professional judgment. Calibrated Risk does not replace a qualified safety professional.
No assessment yet
Enter a task description and click Analyze to generate a data-backed JHA with risk scores.
Initializing analysis…
Parsing task — identifying work activities
Mapping hazards to CFR standards
Querying OSHA violation & citation data
Computing severity from injury records
Assigning risk levels and calculating priority score
Generating hierarchy-of-controls recommendations
Please be patient — a thorough analysis can take up to a minute to complete.
Saved JHAs
Your completed risk assessments
Severity & Probability
For each hazard, Claude assigns a severity and probability code from the task description. These two codes are the inputs to the Risk Level lookup below.
Severity (I–IV)
How bad the worst realistic outcome is if the hazard occurs.
ICatastrophic — fatality or permanent total disability
IICritical — permanent partial disability, hospitalization > 3 months
IIISignificant — recordable injury, hospitalization < 3 months
IVMinor — first aid only
Probability (A–D)
How likely the hazard is to occur given the task as described.
AFrequent — occurs often / continuous exposure
BLikely — will probably occur if not corrected
COccasional — possible to occur
DRarely — unlikely to occur
Risk Level (1–5)
A standard risk-assessment-code (RAC) matrix maps Probability × Severity to a single Risk Level. 1 is worst (Critical), 5 is best (Negligible). Hazards are sorted by this value, then by Priority Score, so the most urgent items surface first.
Sev. ISev. IISev. IIISev. IV
Prob. A1 Critical1 Critical2 High3 Medium
Prob. B1 Critical2 High3 Medium4 Low
Prob. C2 High3 Medium4 Low5 Negligible
Prob. D3 Medium4 Low5 Negligible5 Negligible
Priority Score (APN)
A relative ranking number for triage across many hazards — not a probability. Higher means fix it sooner.
Priority Score = (6 − Risk Level) × Workers Exposed × Frequency Multiplier × Duration Multiplier
Frequency multiplier
Daily×4
Weekly×3
Monthly×2
One-time×1
Duration multiplier
Continuous×3
Intermittent×2
Brief (<30 min)×1
OSHA enforcement statistics
These figures come directly from OSHA's public enforcement database (DuckDB), filtered to the matched NAICS industry — not model estimates.
Citation Rate
Of all inspections in the matched industry, the percentage that resulted in a citation under the specific CFR standard tied to this hazard: citations under that standard ÷ total inspections in the industry.
Fatality Rate / Hospitalization Rate
Of OSHA-investigated injury records in the matched industry, the share classified as a fatality or hospitalization (vs. non-hospitalized or unknown severity).
Data Confidence
Reflects how many underlying records the rate above is based on — a rate from 8 inspections is much less reliable than one from 8,000. If an industry match has too few records (< 30), the query automatically widens to a broader NAICS prefix, or the full dataset, and flags that fallback.
Records (n)Confidence
00%
1–920%
10–4940%
50–19960%
200–99975%
1,000–4,99987%
5,000+95%
Residual Risk
The expected Risk Level after the recommended controls (hierarchy of controls: elimination → substitution → engineering → administrative → PPE) are put in place, as assessed by Claude alongside the controls themselves.
About the dataset
Live stats from the underlying OSHA enforcement database, synced nightly from the U.S. Department of Labor.
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